Open role
Elman is building AI to predict clinical trial and drug development outcomes, and quantify how much confidence those predictions deserve. Our starting point is the evidence available when a decision is made, what we judge from it, and what happens next. By linking those records, we aim to learn which experimental findings predict outcomes in which therapeutic settings. The engine already gathers evidence and tests scientific explanations. We're looking for a technical co-founder to lead its development and work out how to measure and improve its predictive performance.
Apply →How reliably different kinds of biological evidence predict human outcomes, and whether that can be measured at all.
Drug discovery and development involve decisions about targets, treatment approaches, delivery and patient populations. Each decision depends on evidence that may not transfer well to the setting that matters: treating people. A treatment working in mice, for example, does not tell us how much confidence to place in its chances in humans.
Around nine in ten drugs entering clinical trials never reach approval. The causes run from efficacy to safety to commercial choice, and the claim here is narrower than blaming that number on translation: the field has never systematically measured how far any given kind of evidence should carry.
We want to measure that. It is difficult to test. Outcomes can take years to arrive, suitable labels are often missing, and a failed trial does not necessarily reveal which earlier assumption was wrong. There is no established dataset or method that settles the question, so defining what to measure, building reliable evaluations and choosing appropriate methods are central to the role.
Approval likelihood from Phase 1 is roughly 10%. Hay M, Thomas DW, Craighead JL, Economides C, Rosenthal J, Clinical development success rates for investigational drugs, Nature Biotechnology 32(1):40-51, 2014.
The founding team covers biology and commercial development. You will be responsible for the technology and the research needed to evaluate it. There is no engineering team yet: you will be building the system yourself and should expect to remain hands-on for at least the first year.
The modelling approach is open. You will choose methods based on the problem and the available data, whether those involve Bayesian or hierarchical inference, graph learning, calibration, classical statistics or a combination.
Elman is a pre-seed company, and the spin-out from Deep Science Ventures completes over the coming months. The platform is already running and has produced a scientific result through work with the Allen Institute, described in a public preprint. The next funding round will fund the measurement programme.
Worth reading before you apply: the thesis, the preprint, and the engine running.
No. The founding team covers biology. Experience with biological or clinical data is useful, and what matters more is the instinct to ask whether a measurement means what it claims.
Location is flexible. The company is UK-based and we prefer candidates here or willing to relocate, but we already work distributed and remote is workable for the right person.
Pre-seed. Elman was built inside Deep Science Ventures and is spinning out. The platform is already running and has produced a scientific result through work with the Allen Institute, described in a public preprint. No round has closed yet.
They run through most of our development, along with automated pipelines around them. You would lead that work and own how we use and improve these tools.
Possibly. The work is what a Head of AI or founding engineer does at a larger company, plus the research programme and the fundraising. Here it is a co-founder seat with founder equity, which is the material difference.
Both. You would join as a co-founder, with founder equity and technical authority from day one. The title is CTO because that is what the job is.
Send a short paragraph on what you would measure first, with links to relevant work. No cover letter. Questions to hello@elman.ai.
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